At 128K I was over 98.5% accurate, but was impressed as hell at how good a job the compression did.
This is the sort of thing I was mostly hoping people would try, and find. I got sucked into discussing beyond-CD stuff in that other thread, but I really want people to try this with MP3s (and other lossy formats). When you compare, non-blind, a 128k MP3 vs original, it often seems like a joke, but this is a psychological enhancement of the difference that would not apply with normal, blissfully ignorant listening to the bad quality file.
Don't get me wrong, there is little reason to create a 128k MP3 in 2014, but I think it would be nice if more people did this sort of test and perhaps dialed down their scoffing at, say, people evaluating speakers with 320k MP3s. I'm pretty sure they can still tell if the speakers are any good.
As for your comments on online radio, it could be the same psychological effect, but the streaming services have unknown libraries of sources, and who knows how any given simulcast from a real radio station is being processed and encoded. That will probably have to remain a mystery.
P.S.
Once I got to 192K, it was just barely over a guess statistically.
You're obviously not leaping to any conclusions, but just to be clear, being "barely over a guess statistically" would mean a 5% or less "chance of guessing" as displayed by the test, with at least 10 trials. If it says, for example, 45% chance that you are guessing, that means, statistically, nobody knows if you are guessing or not. You could keep doing more trials, and if you keep getting better than 50% right it will eventually mean something, but your odds aren't good if it's near 50% chance of guessing after 10 trials. Probably better to try a different file if you want to keep going.