RGA
Super Member
The Academy Awards will be aired on March 10th. Oppenheimer is the heavy favourite to win a slew of awards - including Best Picture. I have also seen several of the other categories this year and will provide my "If I Picked the Wnners" list (Inspired by Siskel and Ebert's annual "If We Picked the Winners".
The 10 Nominations for Best Picture ranked. Last year my top pick was Everything Everywhere All at Once (7.5/10). So all in all this was a much stronger group for me than last year.
10- Barbie 4.5/10
9- Maestro 5.5/10
8 - American Fiction 7.5/10
7 - Oppenheimer 7.5/10
6 - The Holdovers 8/10
5 - Killers of the Flower Moon 8/10
4 - Anatomy of a Fall 8.5/10
3 - Zone of Interest 9/10
2 - Past Lives 9/10
1 - Poor Things 9/10
My picks for individual awards (brackets are what will probably win)
Best Picture - Poor Things. (Oppenheimer)
Best Original Screenplay - Anatomy of a Fall (The Oscars probably get this one right)
Best Adapted Screenplay - Poor Things (Barbie)
Best Sound - The Zone of Interest (Oppenheimer)
Best Production Design - Poor Things (Barbie)
Best Original Song - Barbie - "What Was I Made For?" - Billie Eilish
Best Original Score - Poor Things (Oppenheimer)
Best Film Editing - Poor Things (Oppenheimer)
Best Directing - Poor Things - Yorgos Lanthimos (Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer)
Best Costume Design - Poor Things (Barbie)
Best Cinematography - Poor Things (Oppenheimer)
Best Supporting Actress - The Holdovers - Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Oscars probably get this one right)
Best Supporting Actor - Poor Things - Mark Ruffalo (Robert Downey Jr - Oppenheimer)
Best Actress - Poor Things - Emma Stone (Lily Gladstone)
Best Actor - The Holdovers - Paul Giamatti (Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer)
So for me - Poor Things I would give 9 Academy Awards. However, given its strong R rating, explicit full-frontal nudity, and sheer oddball creativity and the fact that it was in the Comedy/Musical section of the Golden Globes - AND - knowing the Academy generally doesn't award comedic films - then I think my choice has very little chance.
This was, for me, a strong group. The top 3 on my list I feel have their strong points. Past Lives was only nominated for two awards - and arguably should have been nominated for its two lead actors (Greta Lee and Teo Yoo). It's one of the great "one that got away" romance stories. Films like this lose ground because they don't have the big production values of the big budget efforts.
Meanwhile the "Zone of Interest" is a film about the Holocaust where nothing is happening on screen and yet everything is happening to our senses - especially sound - this film requires a good sound system to appreciate. It is described as a film about the Banality of Evil - it's an art-house sort of film that won't appeal to many.
"Poor Things" is a film that I suspect Mary Shelly would have enjoyed - a visual tour de force watching a kind of "Bride of Frankenstein" learning about the world and the exquisiteness of being and feeling alive as well as the horrors of humanity. This is the feminist movie that should be seen over the simpleminded Barbie- it is however rated Category III in Hong Kong - no one under 18 allowed.
Oppenheimer is probably the safe bet as it will appeal to a wider audience. I don't think it is a great film but it is a good one and is a respectable choice to win best picture. Still - I kind of wish the Academy would surprise us - part of me wants Past Lives to win (only nominated for picture and screenplay)- an out-of-left-field upset.
The 10 Nominations for Best Picture ranked. Last year my top pick was Everything Everywhere All at Once (7.5/10). So all in all this was a much stronger group for me than last year.
10- Barbie 4.5/10
9- Maestro 5.5/10
8 - American Fiction 7.5/10
7 - Oppenheimer 7.5/10
6 - The Holdovers 8/10
5 - Killers of the Flower Moon 8/10
4 - Anatomy of a Fall 8.5/10
3 - Zone of Interest 9/10
2 - Past Lives 9/10
1 - Poor Things 9/10
My picks for individual awards (brackets are what will probably win)
Best Picture - Poor Things. (Oppenheimer)
Best Original Screenplay - Anatomy of a Fall (The Oscars probably get this one right)
Best Adapted Screenplay - Poor Things (Barbie)
Best Sound - The Zone of Interest (Oppenheimer)
Best Production Design - Poor Things (Barbie)
Best Original Song - Barbie - "What Was I Made For?" - Billie Eilish
Best Original Score - Poor Things (Oppenheimer)
Best Film Editing - Poor Things (Oppenheimer)
Best Directing - Poor Things - Yorgos Lanthimos (Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer)
Best Costume Design - Poor Things (Barbie)
Best Cinematography - Poor Things (Oppenheimer)
Best Supporting Actress - The Holdovers - Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Oscars probably get this one right)
Best Supporting Actor - Poor Things - Mark Ruffalo (Robert Downey Jr - Oppenheimer)
Best Actress - Poor Things - Emma Stone (Lily Gladstone)
Best Actor - The Holdovers - Paul Giamatti (Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer)
So for me - Poor Things I would give 9 Academy Awards. However, given its strong R rating, explicit full-frontal nudity, and sheer oddball creativity and the fact that it was in the Comedy/Musical section of the Golden Globes - AND - knowing the Academy generally doesn't award comedic films - then I think my choice has very little chance.
This was, for me, a strong group. The top 3 on my list I feel have their strong points. Past Lives was only nominated for two awards - and arguably should have been nominated for its two lead actors (Greta Lee and Teo Yoo). It's one of the great "one that got away" romance stories. Films like this lose ground because they don't have the big production values of the big budget efforts.
Meanwhile the "Zone of Interest" is a film about the Holocaust where nothing is happening on screen and yet everything is happening to our senses - especially sound - this film requires a good sound system to appreciate. It is described as a film about the Banality of Evil - it's an art-house sort of film that won't appeal to many.
"Poor Things" is a film that I suspect Mary Shelly would have enjoyed - a visual tour de force watching a kind of "Bride of Frankenstein" learning about the world and the exquisiteness of being and feeling alive as well as the horrors of humanity. This is the feminist movie that should be seen over the simpleminded Barbie- it is however rated Category III in Hong Kong - no one under 18 allowed.
Oppenheimer is probably the safe bet as it will appeal to a wider audience. I don't think it is a great film but it is a good one and is a respectable choice to win best picture. Still - I kind of wish the Academy would surprise us - part of me wants Past Lives to win (only nominated for picture and screenplay)- an out-of-left-field upset.