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Prices.... Going Up!!!

First world problems.
Nobody shooting or bombing me today.
Food to eat.place to sleep. Relatively peaceful existence.
Luckiest person ever.
Grateful for all the blessings in my life.

It's not that ^^^ way for a whole lot of people who reside in The First World ... people who face, daily, poverty, food insecurity, lack of access to adequate / affordable healthcare, lack of / no access to adequate shelter and more .... the list goes on but I'll stop here.

In short, rising prices can have a hugely negative impact on tens of thousands of people residing in The First World. Whether you're in Calcutta or Appalachia, hunger is hunger.
 
It's not that ^^^ way for a whole lot of people who reside in The First World ... people who face, daily, poverty, food insecurity, lack of access to adequate / affordable healthcare, lack of / no access to adequate shelter and more .... the list goes on but I'll stop here.

In short, rising prices can have a hugely negative impact on tens of thousands of people residing in The First World. Whether you're in Calcutta or Appalachia, hunger is hunger.
especially anyone who is on a fixed income for whatever reason, like my mom.
it was hard before. now it is 8% harder.
 
@Mystic:
Please, how about a graph on natural gas prices and your thoughts on that?

As of 17:53 Paris / 11:53 Eastern, NG is up a few points per commodities trading:
upload_2022-5-5_17-58-50.jpeg

Note the rate of increase in the columns Weekly, Monthly, and YoY:

Weekly @ 22.18%
Monthly @ 37.81%
YoY @ 187.43%

Interesting that petroleum -- "crude" and "Brent" -- are down. Today.

I will work on assembling a graph that shows NG going back farther than one year.
 

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I am mystified as to how something imported and exported by the U.S. by pipeline (Canada and Mexico) is affected so substantially by Russia cutting off Europe's supply.
Our natural gas prices in Illinois went from $.68 per therm in April (which is double from the year before) to $1.11 per therm in May.
 
I am mystified as to how something imported and exported by the U.S. by pipeline (Canada and Mexico) is affected so substantially by Russia cutting off Europe's supply.
Our natural gas prices in Illinois went from $.68 per therm in April (which is double from the year before) to $1.11 per therm in May.
I’m thinking that corporate greed is a big factor in rising prices. Consumer goods prices are going up, not because they need too but because they can. We’re all expecting higher prices so that’s what we will get.
 
I’m thinking that corporate greed is a big factor in rising prices. Consumer goods prices are going up, not because they need too but because they can. We’re all expecting higher prices so that’s what we will get.

This + "bets" that supply and access will become still more constrained as kinetic forces, physical and economic, only intensify.

Y'all think "supply chain(s)" are stressed now? Wait until shipping ceases to budge even an iota.
 
@Mystic:
Please, how about a graph on natural gas prices and your thoughts on that?

1. Before tackling price trends over, say, the last 5-10 years re: natural gas (NG) @ YCHARTS, I thought to take a look a the latest commodity board action for NG and petro-based fuels and uranium (nuclear NRG). Immediatey noteworthy is that YoYfor NG increased overnight, from 187.43% MMBu, to 195.10% MMBu -- quite an increase in fewr than 24 hours.

Let's have a look @ NG + Petroleum NRG commodities:
upload_2022-5-6_10-10-9.jpeg
Note: These data for commodites status as of 6 May 2022 @ 9:42AM PARIS TIME

Uranium:
upload_2022-5-6_10-11-14.jpeg

So NG is holding fast and the petroleul-based commodities are on the rise, as is uranium, likely benefiting from the fact that France has, as of May 2022, broken ground for THREE NEW REACTORS and is contracted to construct still THREE ADDITIONAL REACTORS over the next decade.

And for what it's worth, COAL:, whose cost has increased significantly since the "green asault" of circa 2020-2021 and especially since chatter re: petroleum embargos have enflamed (engulfed, lol?) The EU Zone...upload_2022-5-6_10-17-10.jpeg

2. This morning's story (so far) re: "traditional precious metals", where fiat currencies go to die and not much more in the 21st century, thus their importance is dimished:
upload_2022-5-6_10-15-17.jpeg
Interesting that the demand for COPPER, a component of EV batteries, remains "soft", but a look at the market price trends for metal and checmical elements deemed most critical to EV battery production tell a different story.

And, for what it's worth, PLATINUM, like other precious metals, declining as its importance diminishes:
upload_2022-5-6_10-20-57.jpeg
Useful for jewelry and such, not much strategic importance in what's to come.

3. EV battery MAIN ELEMENTS pricing as of 6 May 2022 @ 9:42AM PARIS TIME:
upload_2022-5-6_10-22-31.jpeg
Huge YoY increase. Quel surprise, eh?

upload_2022-5-6_10-23-50.jpeg
Rising... fast.

upload_2022-5-6_10-23-8.jpeg
Rising. Recall not long ago this metal was effin' cheap. No longer the case. (see "Cobalt")

upload_2022-5-6_10-24-33.jpeg
Still another "minor" metal that's now on the rise.

Most electric vehicle batteries are lithium based and rely on a mix of cobalt, manganese, nickel, and graphite and other primary components. Because GRAPHITE is not tracked by most materials commodities services, I leave y'all wit this nugget:

Annually, the largest amount of GRAPHITE extraction / mining activiey occurs in China: 650,000 MT.

PS: I'll be back with a NATURAL GAS supply/demand~costs graph
 
Pressure treated 2 x 4 x 8' at Menard's: $10.66 before 11% rebate

Some good news / developments re: lumber costs. Trading as of 6 May 2022:
upload_2022-5-6_12-56-1.jpeg

Overall, cost of lumber decreased YoY largely owing to decreased demand as overall construction in the guise of new structure starts and existing structure remodeling activities -- commercial and retail / home real estate -- has slowed to halted entirely across the EU Zone, China, Russia, and throughout the USA and Canada. It is up very) near term, but the YoY decrease of -37% is isgnificant and telling.

A concomitant decline in commercial and other real estate sales activity is also very much in evidence. The decline in (overall) construction will result in a decline in the number of jobs / trades associated with this industry.
 
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^^^^ LUMBER, PART II:

Where the big betters are going:

6 / May / 2022 Q1 / 2023
upload_2022-5-6_13-7-14.jpeg

Thus the bet is a 30% decline in the cost of 1000 board feet in the next eight months.

cc: @OBMG74
 
I live in MI and yesterday we took a 90 mile (one way) road trip and while still in MI payed 50 cents per gallon less. So much for the high gas tax being the cause for high prices.
 
In Illinois, our State law-makers have given our economy a shot in the arm by foregoing an anticipated $.03/gal tax increase!!!!!!
Lot's of cheering at the State Capitol for helping out the common man.

And, the State is printing up labels proclaiming this fact which must be attached to every gas pump.

Let's do some fun math! (if there are any legislators reading, I could probably simplify the formula with visuals like cute animals or colors or something....)

$.03 per gal/$4.39 current cost per gal = .0068% savings per gallon!
 
In Illinois, our State law-makers have given our economy a shot in the arm by foregoing an anticipated $.03/gal tax increase!!!!!!
Lot's of cheering at the State Capitol for helping out the common man.

And, the State is printing up labels proclaiming this fact which must be attached to every gas pump.

Let's do some fun math! (if there are any legislators reading, I could probably simplify the formula with visuals like cute animals or colors or something....)

$.03 per gal/$4.39 current cost per gal = .0068% savings per gallon!

You forgot to figure in the additional loss from the stickers and advertising for their great achievement.
 
Drove past the local Flying J and Love's truck stops this AM - both had gas at $5.49. Drove 7 miles to the town where my warehouse is and filled up for $4.99.
 
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