In the USA prices are rising ... but so is American consumer confidence?
The University of Michigan monthly Consumer Sentiment Survey for the US increased to a five-month high of 59.5 in September of 2022 from 58.2 in August, compared to market forecasts of 60, preliminary estimates showed. Both current conditions (58.9 vs 58.6) and expectations (59.9 vs 58) improved. With continued declines in energy prices, the median expected year-ahead inflation rate declined to 4.6%, the lowest reading since last September, from 4.8% in August. At 2.8%, median long run inflation expectations fell below the 2.9-3.1% range for the first time since July 2021. Said the survey's director, Joanne Hsu: "...it is unclear if these improvements will persist, as consumers continued to exhibit substantial uncertainty over the future trajectory of prices. Uncertainty over short-run inflation reached levels last seen in 1982, and uncertainty over long run inflation rose from 3.9 to 4.5, well above the 3.4 level seen last September".
Source: University Of Michingan at Ann Arbor[/QUOTE