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Random Thoughts or Whatever

Learned 2 interesting things about spiders this week. On a job site Wed, I saw one in mid molt. I thought all breeds found in Massachusetts were full grown by June or July and therefore done molting. Guess not!

Yesterday, there was one on my leg that folded its legs up so that it looked like some kind of seed. Never knew there was a breed that could do that!
 
"They" said in...

1966: Oil Gone in Ten Years
1970: World Will Use Up All Its Natural Resources**
1972: Oil Depleted in 20 Years
1977: Department of Energy Says Oil Will Peak In 1990s
1980: Peak Oil In 2000
1996: Peak Oil in 2020
2002: Peak Oil in 2010

** The one declaration that could prove to be accurate.

(too funny)
Ice age by 2010 ! Popular belief when I was in high school !
 
I grew up in Chicago, where we had Ice Age every friggin year of The Sixites and The Seventies ... and probably beyond those decades.
I survived the white hurricane of 1977 so of the lowes barometer readings ever recorded in our area weeks of snow and ice !
 
From the introduction of a current read:

"The further backward you look the further forward you are likely to see." Winston Churchill

"HISTORY, n. An account, mostly false, of events, mostly unimportant, which are brought about by rulers, mostly knaves, and soldiers, mostly fools." Ambrose Bierce

"Progress is made by lazy men looking for easier ways to do things." Robert Heinlein
 
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"Science" is just another agency of the machine. The number of free scientists practicing in the world could be counted on one hand. The latest incarnation, "The Science," doesn't even embrace the first principles of science- skepticism. So, when "they" say or predict anything in contemporary times, you're just hearing an employee spouting the bosses line.
 
"Science" is just another agency of the machine. The number of free scientists practicing in the world could be counted on one hand. The latest incarnation, "The Science," doesn't even embrace the first principles of science- skepticism. So, when "they" say or predict anything in contemporary times, you're just hearing an employee spouting the bosses line.
You've got one size of brush...it's broader than a barn door.
 
"Science" is just another agency of the machine. The number of free scientists practicing in the world could be counted on one hand. The latest incarnation, "The Science," doesn't even embrace the first principles of science- skepticism. So, when "they" say or predict anything in contemporary times, you're just hearing an employee spouting the bosses line.

I often think that the people (scientists/reporters) sharing, often state a "theory", that really is a "hypothesis", and Joe Public accepts it as such. :bigok:


Q
 
I often think that the people (scientists/reporters) sharing, often state a "theory", that really is a "hypothesis", and Joe Public accepts it as such. :bigok:


Q
The Difference Between Hypothesis and Theory

A hypothesis is an assumption, an idea that is proposed for the sake of argument so that it can be tested to see if it might be true.

In the scientific method, the hypothesis is constructed before any applicable research has been done, apart from a basic background review. You ask a question, read up on what has been studied before, and then form a hypothesis.

A hypothesis is usually tentative; it's an assumption or suggestion made strictly for the objective of being tested.

A theory, in contrast, is a principle that has been formed as an attempt to explain things that have already been substantiated by data. It is used in the names of a number of principles accepted in the scientific community, such as the Big Bang Theory. Because of the rigors of experimentation and control, it is understood to be more likely to be true than a hypothesis is.

In non-scientific use, however, hypothesis and theory are often used interchangeably to mean simply an idea, speculation, or hunch, with theory being the more common choice.

Since this casual use does away with the distinctions upheld by the scientific community, hypothesis and theory are prone to being wrongly interpreted even when they are encountered in scientific contexts—or at least, contexts that allude to scientific study without making the critical distinction that scientists employ when weighing hypotheses and theories.

The most common occurrence is when theory is interpreted—and sometimes even gleefully seized upon—to mean something having less truth value than other scientific principles. (The word law applies to principles so firmly established that they are almost never questioned, such as the law of gravity.)

This mistake is one of projection: since we use theory in general to mean something lightly speculated, then it's implied that scientists must be talking about the same level of uncertainty when they use theory to refer to their well-tested and reasoned principles.

The distinction has come to the forefront particularly on occasions when the content of science curricula in schools has been challenged—notably, when a school board in Georgia put stickers on textbooks stating that evolution was "a theory, not a fact, regarding the origin of living things." As Kenneth R. Miller, a cell biologist at Brown University, has said, a theory "doesn’t mean a hunch or a guess. A theory is a system of explanations that ties together a whole bunch of facts. It not only explains those facts, but predicts what you ought to find from other observations and experiments.”

While theories are never completely infallible, they form the basis of scientific reasoning because, as Miller said "to the best of our ability, we’ve tested them, and they’ve held up."

 
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