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Prices.... Going Up!!!

And history repeats itself.
Mopeds were a big thing during the oil crisis in the '70's. (no motorcycle license required)
Sears even sold them.

sears-free-spirit-25.jpg

Is this an example of what Sears offered?

Who is (was?) the manufacturer and what is/was the model name?
 
The moped "to have" in the late 70's to mid 80's was the Tomos Silver Bullet.

It had a 2 speed transmission and was good for an easy 35 if not 40-45 MPH.


What a LOT of folks failed to realize back then was that a driver's license was still required in most states.

I knew a whole bunch of 14 year olds in OH who's parents bought them mopeds and either didn't know or didn't care.

Even today a lot of people don't understand that.
 
As long as you keep it to 49cc and below, some states do not require a motorcycle license, insurance or even registration. This class of scooter also has the best gas milage. But, at best your looking at probably around 30-35mph. An advantage is you can ride in the bike lanes which you cannot do with larger class engines.

Yeah, we have no bike lanes here so I'd have to share the road on something at least 150cc.
 
The price for sunflower oil?

In January I bought five bottles of this one (1 litre) for 99 cents each. Now is it simply not available anymore. But I saw an Ebay auction a couple of weeks ago. Somebody offered the same one - three bottles - and the final bid was 15 Euros excluding shipping costs. :rolleyes:

so.jpg
 
The price for sunflower oil?

In January I bought five bottles of this one (1 litre) for 99 cents each. Now is it simply not available anymore. But I saw an Ebay auction a couple of weeks ago. Somebody offered the same one - three bottles - and the final bid was 15 Euros excluding shipping costs. :rolleyes:

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Chris -- how far are you from France? We have it - plenty of it - as France, formerly also a net export producer of sunflower-related products, has more than sufficient supply to meet domestic demand. Last Saturday I stopped in at Lidl -- a German-owned gorcery firm -- and purchased three one-litre bottles for a whopping four (4) Euros.
 
Ukrainian product?

Not in France, where it is (for now) a wholly domestic-distribution product. If/when ... really if ... Ukraina and/or Russian (don't hold your breath on that one) sunflower supplies ever return to "unfriendly states" of the European Union (read: NATO), the French-produced product will (again) serve domestic and export markets. But for now, domestic only. Pretty much the same w/ our nuclear-generated electricity, which none of the surrounding "liberal" EU states wanted, but are presently clamoring for our "juice". Long, not wrong, view people.

PS: All of which goes far in explaining why mean inflation across the 28 (that many? Oy....) EU zone states is 7.5% YoY (Q1 2021 - Q1 2022) but (only) 4.7% YoY during same period in France. The only "country" of the EU and Europe (adding UK and Switzerland, neither in EU club) is lii' ol' Liechtenstein, w/ a mean inflation rate of < 2.1% YoY.

PPS: Contrary to popular, largely hostile and uninformed "public" opinion, the economic status of most "states" is rarely accidental or even spurious. Just as we get the government we deserve, so do we get the economy we deserve.
 
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Prices going up, but value of many US stocks continue a steepening decline.

The S&P 500 Index, 3 January 2022 through 19 May 2022 @ 10:14 am Eastern:

1/3/2022
upload_2022-5-19_16-14-36.jpeg

The S&P 500 index has decreased by nearly 900 points -- from 4,800 @ 3 January 2022 to 3,911.7 @ 19 May 2022 (10:14 am Eastern).

The big gainers:

Energy
Defense
Computing
Pharmaceutical

The big losers:

Non-online retailers
Select online retailers & services (Amazon, Netflix, Etsy, Paypal)
Entertainment
Travel

There are exceptions of course in every cateogry, but general tendancies are as described.

Where is the S&P 500 Index heading? Broad trading brokers are betting that the index will decline by another (approximately) 300 points, to 3,646 by Q1/2023.

We'll see.


Social media
MSM
Automotive (exception Tesla, up 21.03% YoY)
 
Contrary to popular, largely hostile and uninformed "public" opinion, the economic status of most "states" is rarely accidental or even spurious. Just as we get the government we deserve, so do we get the economy we deserve.

Hope this isn't taken as political, rather observation and summation by one who ought to know. "In politics, nothing happens by accident. If it happens, you can bet it was planned that way." Franklin D. Roosevelt. Said many ways by others in a position to know, Churchill, ect., what do they know in the area of forbidden thoughts. Investing, personally, since being aware, this understanding has been my guide, a pattern predictive emerges, read the tea leaves. Very Sun Tzu.
 
My annual re-up with the local propane guy here (I have a 500 Gal tank) is every July.

July 2019, monthly propane bill $88
July 2020, monthly propane bill $87
July 2021, monthly propane bill $107

Prediction for July 2022, monthly propane bill will be $250+

This sucks. There will be many people living on popcorn & Ramen noodles
Okay folks. I got my annual installment agreement for the propane.

July 2019, monthly propane bill $88
July 2020, monthly propane bill $87
July 2021, monthly propane bill $107
July 2022, monthly propane bill $139

That's a 59.77% increase since July 2020!

At least my prediction was way off. Thought it would be $200+

Nevertheless, this sucks!

Off with their heads!
 
The cost of "debt" also rises / aka Who owns America?

As of 19 May 2022, US gross national debt is $30.4 trillion, an increase of $7.0 trillion -- 23% -- since March 2020.

Here's the thing: Every effin' Treasury security was bought and is being held by all of the following:

1. Institutional investor
2. Financial institution (e.g., bank)
3. Government entity (domestic or foreign)
4. Individual (domestic or foreign)

These "investors" are, in effect, America's creditors.

Who are they?

FOREIGN CREDITORS

Foreign creditors -- mainly governments -- "own" $7.61 trillion

The 12 largest foreign owners of American debt, including dollar amount and percent change amount US debt owned YoY:

JAPAN: $1.23 trillion (+4.1% Year-over-Year)
CHINA: $1.04 trillion (+3.4% YoY)
UK: $635 billion (+43% YoY)
Ireland: $316 billion (+2% YoY)
Luxembourg: $301 billion (+6% YoY)
Cayman Islands: $293 billion (+36% YoY)
Switzerland: $274 billion (+8% YoY)
Belgium (home of Euroclear): $265 billion (+12% YoY)
France: $247 billion (+117% YoY)
Taiwan: $251 billion (+3% YoY)
Brazil: $237 billion (-7% YoY)
Canada: $222 billion (+109% YoY)

As bolded in the list above, there were big moves by France (+117%) and Canada (+109%) over the last 12 months, while the UK -- aka the "London Laundromat" -- remained typically high @ +43%.

TOTAL SHARE OF FOREIGN OWNERSHIP OF US NATIONAL DEBT: 26.6%

DOMESTIC CREDITORS

1. US Federal Government: $6.52 trillion

These represent funds owned by US government pension funds for military personnel and federal civilian employees, the US Social Security Trust Fund, and other federal government funds that invest their balances exclusively in Treasury securities. In essence, the US government owes these funds to current and future beneficiaries of those funds – and not “to itself.”

US federal governement owns approximately 19% of all US national debt.

2. US Federal Reserve Bank: $5.76 trillion

The Federal Reserve Bank's holdings of US Treasury securities started declining in 2021, and by the end of March 2022 had decreased to 19.8% of all US national debt. Treasury securities on the FRB's books do not include the large amount of MBS and other securities the FRB holds.

3. US Banking Intitutions: $1.7 trillion

US banking institutions own 5.6% of all US national debt.

4. Other US institutional and individual investors: $8.8 trillion

These US national debt "owners" include bond mutual funds, money market funds, US pension funds, US insurance companies, state and local governments, other US organizational entities, and (isgnificantly) individual investors LIKE MYSELF.

Taken together, these investors own roughly 29% of all US national debt.

TOTAL SHARE OF DOMESTIC OWNERSHIP OF US NATIONAL DEBT: 73.4%

Source of all of the above: United States Department of Treasury / Treasury International Capital (TIC) database
 
Update on gas prices here. Last week I filled up at $4.99 gal. Yesterday, same station which is historically one of the cheaper places to find gas here, $5.19 gal.
 
Gas seems to be holding steady at $3.95 at the station I frequent (over the past week). Kind of a surprise given the average in the state is currently $4.05.
 
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Must have been a last gasp for the Allstate name? Sears at one point even advertised a car under tthe Allstate moniker.
 
I heard from someone in the Naturel Gas field , that gas is going up 42% this fall.

Commodities traders and trade analysts are betting that the cost of natural gas -- i.e., USD/MMBtu -- will rise over the next 12 months by approximately 17%, from (as of 21 May 2022 @ 10:31AM Eastern) $8.04/MMBtu to $9.40/MMBtu by 30 April 2023.

Expressed graphically:

upload_2022-5-21_16-35-33.jpeg

Perhaps analysts are overly optimistic, given that the USD/MMBtu cost exactly one year ago was less than $3/MMBtu -- thus the YoY increase of 177.29% USD/MMBtu.
 
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