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Prices.... Going Up!!!

bought some stuff yesterday at the parts store and the price about popped my eyes out

4 feet of 3/16" fuel hose
1 foot of 3/8" fuel hose
1/4" threaded T fitting
two 3/8 barb x 1/4 pipe thread
one 1/4 barb x 1/4 pipe thread
6 hose clamps

64 dollars. I was expecting half that. The whole purpose of this was to test a fuel pump to see if thats the problem with something. I could have bought a new pump and filter and just stuck them on for the same money.
 
Brass fittings have skyrocketed in the last 3-4 years.

Started before the covid business.

If it was $4 in 2018, it's likely $12 now.


...and rubber ain't what it used to be.

I have stuff from the 1990's and earlier that's still good and stuff from the 2010's that's deteriorated.
 
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I need this to work for an hour or so, hopefully it will last that long.

I haven't bought brass stuff in a while, definitely a shocker.
 
WHAT'S HAPPENING WITH .... GOLD

Gold prices rose above $2,020 an ounce on Monday, close to the highest USD/OZ level in 50 years.

So, who is buying and who is selling? Let's have a look:


GOLD.JPG
 
Gold prices rose above $2,020 an ounce on Monday, close to the highest USD/OZ level in 50 years.

Yep, that's what they're sayin'......

But what I'm seeing are a lot of numbers/graphs which aren't adjusted for inflation..
At best, not very helpful when looking at info over a long period of time.
At worst, it's deceiving.

Here's an interactive graph based on monthly peak gold prices adjusted for inflation.
Poke around and you'll see if can be set for 5, 10, 20, 30 years...or "all time" which goes back to 1915.
Based on the graph, I count around 30 months just since May 2011 where the peak price of gold was effectively higher than it was today.

https://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-year-chart
 
A customer of mine's mother needed a light switch replaced in her house. She called a local electrician who has been around for YEARS, but just sold to another person.

The quote - $500.00
 
By comparison, here's a chart.

Mom passed in 2012, and left stock to each of us kids.

Here's what it's done the last 10 years:

View attachment 2884152

I've had the mixed bad~good fortune of handling my (greater) family and my own work-related investment portfolios going on 30 years and yeah we're effin' well up from where we were 25 years ago:

USNDX 25 YEAR.JPG

PS: US INDEX is also rocketing UPWARD for the day (i.e., Friday 12 May 2023)
 
Am I missing something? ... Is cancellation not precisely the reason for diversification?

Nope. It is about the mathematics of risk diversification. You start significantly reducing risk with around 6 different shares in a portfolio, and get about as much effect as you will ever get with around 30.
 
Nope. It is about the mathematics of risk diversification. You start significantly reducing risk with around 6 different shares in a portfolio, and get about as much effect as you will ever get with around 30.

I try to keep mine to about 10-15 different holdings.

Any more than that and it's too difficult to keep track of.
 
Prices, costs and expenses...

The Federal Reserve just released the results of its latest Survey Of Household Economics And Decisionmaking (SHED).

Here's a link to the thing: https://www.federalreserve.gov/consumerscommunities/shed.htm

A couple of findings of the 2023 survey:

A new question was asked this year: What is the largest emergency you would be able to handle today using only savingsand not being able to borrow or sell assets?

Americans' responses:
  • 46% could handle $2,000 or more
  • 11% could handle $1,000 to $1,999
  • 11% could handle $500 to $999
  • 14% could handle $100 to $499
  • 18% could handle less than $100.
The survey also a question concerning if and how Americans would cover a three-month period following a loss of job, following on the old rule of thumb that one should always have set aside liquid assets sufficient to cover three months of household expenses. In response to this question in May 2023, respondents reported to the Federal Reserve that:
  • 54% had enough cash for three months of expenses.
  • 16 % said they would deal with the loss of income by:
    • “Selling assets”
    • “Drawing on other savings”
    • “Borrowing.”
  • 30% could not cover three months of expenses by any means.
So, while 70% of households would get through a three-month period without much difficulty owing to (1) having cash on hand; (2) having the ability to quickly liquidate assets; (3) drawing on other savings; and/or (4) being able to borrow, approximately 30% of households would not be in a position to cover their household expenses for a period of three months.
 
Prices, costs and expenses...

The Federal Reserve just released the results of its latest Survey Of Household Economics And Decisionmaking (SHED).

Here's a link to the thing: https://www.federalreserve.gov/consumerscommunities/shed.htm

A couple of findings of the 2023 survey:

A new question was asked this year: What is the largest emergency you would be able to handle today using only savingsand not being able to borrow or sell assets?

Americans' responses:
  • 46% could handle $2,000 or more
  • 11% could handle $1,000 to $1,999
  • 11% could handle $500 to $999
  • 14% could handle $100 to $499
  • 18% could handle less than $100.
The survey also a question concerning if and how Americans would cover a three-month period following a loss of job, following on the old rule of thumb that one should always have set aside liquid assets sufficient to cover three months of household expenses. In response to this question in May 2023, respondents reported to the Federal Reserve that:
  • 54% had enough cash for three months of expenses.
  • 16 % said they would deal with the loss of income by:
    • “Selling assets”
    • “Drawing on other savings”
    • “Borrowing.”
  • 30% could not cover three months of expenses by any means.
So, while 70% of households would get through a three-month period without much difficulty owing to (1) having cash on hand; (2) having the ability to quickly liquidate assets; (3) drawing on other savings; and/or (4) being able to borrow, approximately 30% of households would not be in a position to cover their household expenses for a period of three months.

That's enough to call crisis and introduce unheard of measures.
 
I watched one hell of a documentary about the worldwide problem of globalization shipping chains.

Far too in depth for this thread, and will run afoul of political rules, but it was an eye-opener.

But perhaps the most damning thing I've read is that from 1979 to 2019, there was a pie chart showing corporate cash outlay. Profits were 11%, and labor was in the 50% or thereabouts.

That has flipped. Plus, the old aren't being replaced by GenX, just aren't enough of us, and the Millennials see the writing on the wall.

Then there is the US Navy that polices the world's waters to keep shipping lanes open from pirates (I just learned all about THIS) and it is bankrupting us, or so the video implied.

Going to be a bumpy ride. I doubt the dust will settle before I become dust myself.
 
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