You ain't seen nothing yet....
American consumers are indeed "feeling the economic pinch", as expressed in the (monthly)
Federal Reserve Bank of NY's Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) for April 2021. The general findings, released yesterday, indicate:
1. Median household-level income growth, Y/Y (April 2020 - April 2021) is 2.1 percent.
2. Consumers' median year-ahead inflation expectations increased to 3.4 percent in April 2021, up from 3.2 percent in March 2021.
3. The increase, from 3.2 to 3.4 percent, between March 2021 ando April 2021 marks
the measure’s highest level since September 2013.
A list of the economic sectors driving consumers' expectations of rising inflation includes:
1. Home price change expectations rose sharply to a new series high of 5.5 percent in April 2021 from 4.8 percent in March 2021.
2. Rent growth expectations posted a fifth consecutive increase, rising to a new series high of 9.5 percent.
3. Food cost hikes rising 5.8 percent.
4. Fuel cost hikes rising 9.8 percent.
5. Healthcare cost hikes rising 9.1 percent
6. Education cost hikes rising 5.9 percent
The SCE, unfortunately, doesn’t ask consumers about their expectations for new and used vehicle prices, which are now in the process of spiraling upwards. It would have been interesting to see what consumers expect those prices to do over the next 12 months.
Bottom line: consumers expect to pay for -- in some cases -- dramatic price increases with household earnings that consumers expect will increase at only a fraction of the expected increase in an array of goods and services. Consumers, it seems, anticipate that the purchasing power of their income will be greatly diminished over the next 12 months.
PS: and these ^^^ survey data
do not factor in US consumer opinion regarding expectations of rising fuel costs in the wake of this week's "cyber attack" (ransomware hack or whatever) by spectral elements (read: The Russians... eventually) on the Colonial Pipeline enterprise, which supplies (roughly) 45% of fuel to the East Coast.